PnL · 24h$8.4M
-2.7%
Live on 20 marketsNew
Trade the trader,
not the token
A public track record is already a price on somebody. Tracemarket turns it into a contract: pick a handle, pick a day or a week, and take the call or the put on where their account PnL ends up.
DU
10 accounts listed.
Two windows each, both sides always quotable.
The primitive
A profile you can take a side on
Every screen here is the same object repeated. Take the profile you already recognise, put the account's money line under it, and replace the follow button with two prices.
- 1
The profile stays the profile
Avatar, handle, follower count, bio. You have a view on this person because you already know who they are, so none of that gets abstracted away.
- 2
One number, honestly scored
The card leads with the account's cumulative PnL. Funding the account cannot move it — only closed trades can, which is what makes it worth writing a contract on.
- 3
The stats that set the price
Realised volatility, hit rate, thirty-day volume. These are not garnish; they are the inputs behind the quote you are shown.
- 4
Two prices where Buy would be
Each card ends in a live market: a call, a put, and the multiple you would actually be paid after the fee.
Two markets
One day, or one week
Each listed account carries the same question over two horizons. Same underlying, same settlement rule, different amount of room for the record to move.
How it works
Three steps, no seed phrase
Sign in with an account you already have, fund with a card, trade without touching gas. The chain is plumbing, not an initiation rite.
- 01
Pick an account
Every listed handle carries a one-day and a seven-day market. Search one or browse the board.
- 02
Take a side
Buy the call or the put at the quoted price. A share costs what the book says and pays exactly 1 USDG if it lands.
- 03
Collect on the record
At the close the resolver publishes the median of the readings around it, the market resolves, and winnings are claimable.
A $100 ticket
You buythe call at 43¢$100.00
Shareseach redeems for 1 USDG if it lands232.56
Fee2% of winnings, charged at redemption$2.65
If you are rightnet of the fee$229.91
If you are wrongbinary, so the stake is gone$0.00
Each market opens with $25,000 of seeded depth at an even price, so early size moves the quote noticeably.
Live board
Open right now
Settlement
Resolved from a record you can read
A reading is taken every five minutes and kept as its own file. Both ends of a market are the median of the three readings nearest that moment, so no single print — however well timed — decides anybody's position.
Where the evidence will not support a settlement, the market voids and every position is refunded at cost. That is the correct answer, not a failure: being resolved against a number that cannot be defended is worse for a holder than getting their money back.
Read the settlement rules →Cadence288 readings a day, each one a file5 min
Both endsnearest the open and the closemedian of 3
Stale afterolder cannot value a moment20 min
Refuses to guessrather than settle on thin evidencevoids
For the accounts listed
Listed without being asked
A market can exist on you because your record is public, not because you agreed to anything. Two consequences follow, and both are in the contract rather than in a promise.
A share of every fee taken on your markets accrues to an escrow against your handle from the first trade — no wallet needed, nothing to sign up for. And one signature removes you entirely, voiding every open market on you and refunding each position at what it cost.
Escrowed against unclaimed handles
$648.32
10% of every fee, held against handles nobody has claimed yet
Your share of each fee
10%
of the 2% taken from winnings at redemption
Cost to claim
1 signature
from any wallet that resolves to the handle
Cost to leave
1 signature
open markets void and refund at cost
The underlying
Cumulative account PnL
Portfolio value cannot be the thing a market settles on. Someone who wires in ten thousand dollars an hour before the close would hand every call holder a win they did not trade for. Cumulative PnL is already net of that: deposits move it by nothing, trades move it by exactly what they made or lost.
Both ends of a window are a median of the three readings nearest to it rather than a single print, so one bad or well-timed reading cannot decide anybody's position. Every reading is kept as a file and served back, because a hash of something nobody can fetch is not evidence of anything.
strike = median(3 readings nearest open) settle = median(3 readings nearest close) winner = settle > strike ? call : put # a reading older than 20 minutes cannot # value a moment, and fewer than three # eligible readings resolves to a void
Questions
The ones that keep coming up
Do I need to hold anything to trade?
No. Markets are priced, traded and settled in USDG. Nothing about taking a position requires holding a protocol token.
What stops a trader from moving their own market?
The underlying is cumulative PnL, so depositing does nothing to it — only closed trades move the number. And both ends of the window are a median of three readings, so a single well-timed print is the value that gets discarded.
What happens if the reading stops?
The market voids and every position is refunded at what it cost. A gap is recorded as a gap; the last good file is never stretched across a stretch nobody observed.
Can I sell before the close?
Yes. Both sides stay quotable for the life of the market, so a position can be closed back into the pool at the current price instead of being held to settlement.
Why is the multiple not exactly 2x on an even book?
Because the number shown is what reaches the wallet. A 2% fee is taken from winnings at redemption, which turns an even book into 1.98x rather than 2.00x.
I am one of the listed accounts. How do I get off?
One signature. It voids every open market on your handle and refunds each position at cost, with nothing to sign up for first.